The possibility of a motion of no confidence against Pedro Sánchez is once again gaining prominence in the political debate, but the difficulties in forming an alternative majority remain enormous. This is the view of Lola García, deputy director of La Vanguardia, who argues that neither Junts nor the PNV currently find an easy way out of the current situation. “What would interest them is for the current Government to be stronger and more solid, to be able to present budgets and not be harassed by corruption cases,” she said. In her opinion, the alternative of an Executive led by Alberto Núñez Feijóo with Vox as part of the equation is also not attractive to them.
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Despite this, García recalled that during the legislature there have been numerous parliamentary agreements between Junts and the Popular Party. “There have been many times an alternative majority to the current one,” she noted, citing agreements on issues related to housing, immigration, insecurity, or occupation. However, she explained that the understanding breaks down when the national factor comes into play. “For Junts it is very important and there the relations with the PP are not so good,” she pointed out, also recalling that amnesty and the political consequences of the procés continue to hinder any approach.
Among the formulas that have appeared in recent weeks is the so-called instrumental motion of no confidence, a mechanism designed to replace the Government and call elections immediately. For García, it is probably “the only one that would have some chance,” although it presents significant unknowns. The journalist recalled that it has even been speculated that it could be led by an independent figure, but warned of the risks of such an operation. “When you bring these things down to reality they have many drawbacks,” she explained, alluding to the possibility that subsequent elections might not yield a clear majority and force long periods of political interim in an especially complex international context.
The option of a candidate outside the major parties also does not convince the deputy director of La Vanguardia. “I see it even more difficult,” she assured. In her opinion, accepting such a solution would mean for Feijóo implicitly assuming that his figure is an obstacle to reaching Moncloa. “It would be a detriment to Feijóo himself,” she summarized, ruling out that the Popular Party is in a position to take such a step at this time.
Beyond the arithmetic difficulties, García considers that Pedro Sánchez’s main political strength lies in the interests of his parliamentary partners. “Pedro Sánchez’s great asset is precisely that almost no one benefits from elections, only the PP and Vox,” she said. Neither Sumar, which is undergoing a leadership redefinition process, nor Podemos, nor Junts according to some polls, seem to look favorably on an immediate call. However, if judicial investigations continue to advance, pressure could increase. In that scenario, García believes that a change of strategy by the popular leader would also be necessary: “Some steps would have to be taken by Feijóo in relation to Junts and the PNV. So far messages are sent through the media, but there have been few contacts, if not almost none.”
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