The Andalusian path of President Juanma Moreno has also not served for the Popular Party to get rid of its biggest adversary and its only ally, Vox.
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The PP won last night’s elections in Andalusia by a wide margin with more than 41% of the votes and nearly 150,000 more votes than in the 2022 elections. But that was not the only goal. Juanma Moreno has battled throughout this campaign to renew the absolute majority he achieved four years ago. And he did not succeed last night. He fell two deputies short of the 55 needed. The mess Moreno wanted to avoid is served.
The PP candidate appeared last night to celebrate the victory over the other parties – he emphasized that he was thirty points ahead of Vox – and committed to “forming a government to continue the task of transforming this land.” He said nothing about how he is going to do it. A few days ago, in the middle of the campaign, Moreno assured that he would accept the verdict of the Andalusians whatever it was. And the verdict is that he will have to govern with Vox, a scenario he has repeatedly said he did not want.
The president of the Junta celebrates his victory and assumes the task of forming a government that will inevitably have to include Vox
The result of the Socialist Party was also frankly bad last night. María Jesús Montero’s candidacy fell below the thirty seats that Juan Espadas had left it at in the 2022 elections.
Now, with the former vice president of the Government, María Jesús Montero, at the helm, it has worsened, two deputies less down to 28 seats.
The PSOE has governed Andalusia for almost forty years and its successive presidents have enjoyed five absolute majorities. The blow is phenomenal.
María Jesús Montero accepts defeat and states that the party takes note of the message sent by the voters
María Jesús Montero appeared shortly before Juanma Moreno and accepted the results which, she said, “were not what we wanted. We take note of what the ballot boxes tell us” and speaking in plural assured that the party will continue working in opposition for what it has based its entire campaign on, the defense of public services. The doubt remained in the air whether she will personally take on that task. As is known, Montero has campaigned without giving up her seat as a deputy in Congress and without ever clarifying if her future will now be in the Andalusian parliament seat.
The great and surprising winner of the election night was the Adelante Andalucía candidacy. José Ignacio García made a place in electoral history with his Cádiz-based candidacy that has managed to obtain representation in six of the eight Andalusian provinces and has managed to surpass Por Andalucía, the unity candidacy – in which Podemos participated – led by the general coordinator of Izquierda Unida, Antonio Maíllo.
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The meritorious advance of García’s candidacy, which obtained nearly four hundred thousand votes, received a warm greeting from Gabriel Rufián. The battle between federalists and confederalists increased a degree last night in Andalusia.
Manuel Gavira, the Vox candidate, opens up to a pact with Moreno but makes it clear that he will not make it easy
García emphasized in the reading of the results that his candidacy had managed to surpass Vox in two of the eight provinces and that it had been the second force in Cádiz. “We have started the path to oust fascism from the left.”
Precisely one of the decisive factors in Juanma Moreno’s loss of absolute majority has been Vox, which has managed to reduce the advantage that the Popular Party obtained in 2022 in provinces like Málaga, whose candidacy was headed by none other than Juanma Moreno himself.
However, the paradox is that Vox has not obtained a great result in these elections. It has gained one more seat and 13% of the votes, just a few tenths more than the 2022 result and far from the percentage results that the ultranationalist party had achieved in the three previous elections of this electoral cycle. The national priority has not been as profitable as its promoters believed, but it is true that it is probably behind Vox’s overtaking of the PSOE in Almería.
The sovereigntists of Adelante Andalucía, the big surprise of the night, obtain eight deputies and surpass Por Andalucía
The Vox candidate, Manuel Gavira, celebrated last night in grand style the loss of the absolute majority of Juanma Moreno’s Popular Party. Vox is going to agree to negotiate the government with the PP, but it will set a much higher price than the two deputies the president of the Junta needs to reach the investiture and if not, time will tell.
Finally, but no less relevant, is what consequences last night’s events will have for the leaderships of the PP and PSOE and also for the stability of the Government. Starting with the latter: none. Pedro Sánchez is determined to continue, despite the electoral cycle closing with four consecutive defeats. Nothing will change the president’s determination to reach 2027.
For Alberto Núñez Feijóo, the loss of Juanma Moreno’s absolute majority is also significant because the PP president has clearly bet in this campaign on the Andalusian president’s path. A path characterized by a less aggressive strategy, away from the eternal drill of capital politics. The PP leader believed that Andalusia could open a new formula, but Moreno’s loss of absolute majority and the repetition, for the fourth time, of results that again put a PP government in the hands of Vox has blinded that option. The war will continue.
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