Surprise at the start of the counting of the Andalusian regional elections. With 71% of the votes counted, the official data currently contradict the polls published at the close of the polls and do not confirm the absolute majority that the Sigma Dos and NC Report surveys clearly gave to the president of the Junta and PP candidate, Juanma Moreno Bonilla.
The provisional count places the Popular Party with 52 seats, a figure notably lower than the 58 deputies it held in the previous legislature and three seats short of the 55 threshold that marks the absolute majority. If this trend is consolidated in the count, the popular candidate would suffer a serious setback by seeing his goal of continuing to govern alone frustrated, remaining dependent on a complex negotiation with Vox.
The candidacy of the former vice president of the Government and former Minister of Finance, María Jesús Montero, loses one seat compared to the 30 deputies Juan Espadas obtained in 2022, which was already the worst result for the PSOE in the history of this community. Thus, the personal bet of the president of the Government, Pedro Sánchez, sinks even further.
In the rest of the parliamentary spectrum, the right-wing and transformative left-wing blocs show very different dynamics from those predicted by the polls.
Read more Turnout soars above 52% at 6:00 PM and confirms the mobilization of Andalusian voters
Vox, the party led by Manuel Gavira, rises to 16 deputies, two more than in 2022, provisionally becoming an indispensable force to support the right-wing bloc if the PP fails to recover.
For its part, Adelante Andalucía, led by José Ignacio García, becomes one of the big revelations of the night by jumping from its current two deputies to eight seats, strongly capitalizing on the Andalusian nationalist vote.
Finally, Por Andalucía, the left-wing coalition led by IU leader Antonio Maíllo, would experience a slight setback, remaining with four representatives compared to five in the previous legislature.
Read more The election night is expected to be long in Andalusia, with the counting pending the last vote
