The ceasefire agreed upon by the United States and Iran has lasted for more than five weeks now, but no one rules out the reactivation of the war. The full reopening of Hormuz seems like a pipe dream today, and the demands of both countries to definitively close the conflict remain very far apart.
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Washington wants Tehran to dismantle its nuclear program and lift the blockade of the strait, while Iran demands compensation for war damages, the end of the U.S. blockade of Iranian ports, and the cessation of fighting on all fronts, including Lebanon, where Israel continues to carry out bombings under the pretext of combating Hizbullah.
This Sunday, U.S. President Donald Trump sought to pressure Tehran through a post on Truth Social: “For Iran, the clock is ticking, and they better get moving, FAST, or there will be nothing left of them. TIME IS OF THE ESSENCE!”.
In response to that message, this Monday, the spokesperson for the Iranian Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Esmail Baghaei, stated that diplomatic talks continue through Pakistan, which acts as a mediator.
Trump met last week in Beijing with his Chinese counterpart, Xi Jinping, and among the topics discussed was the Iranian issue. However, it does not seem that this summit has helped resolve the conflict.
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According to the Axios portal, tomorrow Trump will meet with top national security advisors to discuss military action options regarding Iran. The Israeli television channel Channel 13 reported today the arrival in Tel Aviv of dozens of U.S. cargo planes with ammunition, in view of an offensive.
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The possible escalation will not catch Tehran by surprise, which on Sunday, through a senior spokesperson of the Iranian armed forces, Abolfazl Shekarchi, said that if Trump decided to reactivate the war “he would face new aggressive and surprising scenarios, and would sink into a quagmire he himself has created.”
Meanwhile, the situation in the Gulf remains unstable, as both the United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia have reported drone attacks in recent hours. Emirati authorities reported on Sunday that they were investigating the origin of an attack that caused a fire at a nuclear power plant. Meanwhile, the Saudi government reported the interception of three unmanned vehicles coming from Iraqi airspace.
Since the war began last February 28 with the offensive by the United States and Israel against Iran, the regime of the ayatollahs has frequently attacked the Persian Gulf countries hosting U.S. military bases, and has hit facilities including civilian and energy infrastructure.
The UAE and Saudi Arabia are two of the states most affected by these attacks, and although publicly they have conveyed an image of restraint, last week it emerged that they have carried out military actions against Tehran in response to the aggressions suffered.
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