The PP has lost the absolute majority and will need Vox to govern in Andalusia. The history already experienced previously in Extremadura, Aragón, and Castilla y León is repeated. The Popular Party is chained to Santiago Abascal’s formation for better or worse. At the scale of the Andalusian community, it is a significant change because Juan Manuel Moreno Bonilla will be dragged into making concessions to Vox and may put at risk that aura of a moderate and centrist politician that has characterized him, although in this electoral campaign he has sometimes resorted to the easy and demagogic resource of the supposed discrimination of Andalusia with Catalonia. Moreno Bonilla has lost five deputies.
Read more Moreno wins the elections but loses the absolute majority, the PSOE sinks even further
At the Spanish level, the time until the general elections will be very long for the PP. Surely in the next control session of the Congress, Alberto Núñez Feijóo will again ask Pedro Sánchez for early elections after yesterday’s results, but he already knows that this is a futile exercise. We will not have elections until the municipal and some regional ones in June 2027, and only after that will the general elections come.
María Jesús Montero has not improved the expectations of her predecessor, Juan Espadas, and has achieved the worst result in the history of the PSOE in Andalusia. No matter how much one wants to sugarcoat the defeat, because there were polls predicting a greater debacle, the socialists have to make a deep reflection on how they can fall so low in a community that had been their traditional stronghold. And pay attention to the strength with which Adelante Andalucía shoots up with eight seats. Another regional left-wing formation that already announced yesterday that it will run in the general elections to try to follow the path of ERC, EH Bildu, Chunta Aragonesista, or the Galician Bloc.
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Vox has improved its results, although not as much as it had done in other communities, and had to settle for just one more seat. But it has achieved its goal of making the PP need it. Yesterday, Abascal already brought out the national priority. The relationship between PP and Vox becomes a key element in this end of the legislature and will mark next year’s general elections.
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